Audience Costs and the Dynamics of War and Peace
By: Researcher
Disclaimer: The provided code links for this paper are external links. Science Nest has no responsibility for the accuracy, legality or content of these links. Also, by downloading this code(s), you agree to comply with the terms of use as set out by the author(s) of the code(s).
| Authors | Casey Crisman-Cox, Michael B. Gibilisco |
| Journal/Conference Name | AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE |
| Paper Category | Social Sciences |
| Paper Abstract | We estimate audience costs and examine their substantive effects on the evolution of interstate disputes by using an infinitely repeated and dynamic game of crisis escalation. Unlike past efforts, our approach estimates country‐specific audience cost parameters without relying on proxy variables, such as democracy measures. Contrary to intuition, increases in a country's audience costs encourage it to initiate disputes in equilibrium because the costs serve as a commitment device during the subsequent crisis, incentivizing the country to stand firm and coercing its opponent to back down. Nonetheless, the results demonstrate that larger audience costs would result in more peace worldwide, as they also discourage potential opponents from initiating disputes. Beyond regime type, we find that a free press, provisions for executive appointment or removal, and historical rivalries are also important determinants of audience costs. |
| Date of publication | 2018 |
| Code Programming Language | Python |
| Comment |
Copyright Researcher 2022