The Trade Origins of Economic Nationalism: Import Competition and Voting Behavior in Western Europe
By: Researcher
Disclaimer: The provided code links for this paper are external links. Science Nest has no responsibility for the accuracy, legality or content of these links. Also, by downloading this code(s), you agree to comply with the terms of use as set out by the author(s) of the code(s).
| Authors | Italo Colantone, Piero Stanig |
| Journal/Conference Name | AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE |
| Paper Category | Social Sciences |
| Paper Abstract | We investigate the impact of globalization on electoral outcomes in fifteen Western European countries, over 1988-2007. We employ both official election results at the district level and individual-level voting data, combined with party ideology scores from the Comparative Manifesto Project. We compute a region-specific measure of exposure to Chinese imports, based on the historical industry specialization of each region. To identify the causal impact of the import shock, we instrument imports to Europe using Chinese imports to the United States. At the district level, a stronger import shock leads to: (1) an increase in support for nationalist parties; (2) a general shift to the right in the electorate; and (3) an increase in support for radical right parties. These results are confirmed by the analysis of individual-level vote choices. In addition, we find evidence that voters respond to the shock in a sociotropic way. |
| Date of publication | 2018 |
| Code Programming Language | R |
| Comment |
Copyright Researcher 2022